Calculating whether a river call was profitable or not is a fairly simple process in CardRunners EV. We discussed in the previous section some of the more difficult inputs. Here, we will explore how a typical analysis would go in its simpler process. First, we would copy and paste the raw hand history if it is a supported file type with CardRunners EV. If it’s not we can get the HEM2 hand history with the statistics attached.
Figure 151 shows the result when we input the raw hand history and select the option “read board until the river” in CardRunners EV.
As you can see, the entire hand has been imported. We can see at the beginning node the hand that our opponent actually possessed. We now know that I won the hand based on this knowledge, but it is besides the point if our analysis was incorrect.
The rest of the bet sizes and action have been imported along with our hand. We do not need to change those, but we do need to change the beginning range
of our villain. So we click on “edit conditions” beneath “A♣5♥” and import a range like the one we had in Flopzilla of 40%. It’s practically the same hand import tool as Flopzilla, so if you’ve mastered the last section you will need no further instruction here.
On the flop node we do not have to change anything. Underneath where it says “Bet 3000” we can leave all hands, because remember we assumed our opponent was continuation betting with his entire range. We leave ourselves calling. Now under “Bet 3600” we need to hit “edit conditions” so he is not continuing to double barrel anything.
To include just his draws and top pairs we would first go under the value selection. We’d select “at least” on the left and then “one pair” in the middle followed by “top pair” under the section “Value of Pair.” We would leave the “Kicker” section blank if we want to include all top pairs. We’d then select the “Add new condition to list” button at the bottom. We are now done with the made hand section of this Postflop Condition Menu (Figure 152).
We now move on to the draws. To include all of the flush draws we simply mark “Flushdraw” and hit “Add new condition list.” It’s important that we enter the “Flushdraw” alone. If we also add the straight draws in the same entry we will be saying “he only double barrels straight and flush combo draws” (Figure 153).
Finally, we need to enter the straight draws. We select “8 out straight draw,” which is the equivalent to an open-ended straight draw (OESD in Flopzilla). Under the column marked “Using” it is important we select “At least one hc [hole card].”
On the river node for our triple barrel we will leave “all hands” selected, since we had him betting his missed draws, hit draws, and top pairs; that’s all we had him better on the turn so there’s no need to par anything down.
We now can hit the button at the bottom that says “EV Calculate.”
CardRunners EV calculations are sometimes more time consuming than the other analyses we can run, but it’s important, especially in simpler hands such as these, that we run the numbers. All the Flopzilla method can do is show what odds were needed and whether our hand met those demands. CardRunners EV puts all the varying bets and calls together, surmises what their chip value was when considering the equity afforded, and combines them to come up with a final product. This allows us to see finally whether the call down was right or not, and what kind of margins we can expect on our investments.
